There's still a ton to be decided in the final week, including who gets in and who gets #1. Scenario time! Since tiebreakers will be discussed a lot in this post, I just want to remind everyone that the order is Total record -> H2H record -> Divisional record -> Points Forced.

I can confidently say this is by far the most interesting final week in league history.

-Commish

FAAB Challenge Week 14: Free Parking

Challenge Requirements: Everyone gets $5 FAAB (will give one week from today)

AND

Bragging Rights

Challenge Requirements: Defeat your rival

Who can win: Up to 6 teams

Winners receive $5 FAAB each.

Flush Factory

12. Muff Punters (➖)

The Punters will now be in the toilet bowl BYE guaranteed. As they lost to Team Girth in Week 11, they could be in play for the worst place finish if GIRTH wins and the Punters lose. A loss would put the Punters at 0-6 in the division on the season.

11. GIRTH (📉-1)

GIRTH is the odds on favorite to be the bottom seed, which means a BYE in the toilet bowl and a date with the highest seeded team remaining in the second round. They could possibly make things slightly better with a win this week, but a BYE is guaranteed either way.

10. Slat's Slimes (📈+1)

The Slimes escape the toilet bowl BYE with the win. They currently are in 9th place according to the tiebreakers, which would put them in a first round matchup with the lower seeded of the Penguins, Waffles, or Orcas. A win this week would net them the best result, but they do play Play Action Jackson.

9. PT Flea Flik-er (➖)

If PT Flea can play like this, they should escape the toilet bowl early. They are currently the 10 seed, which means they'd face the last team out of the playoffs in the first round of the toilet bowl.

Only one can Advance

8. The Blue Waffles (📉-1)

Can clinch #6 with: a win, or all three teams lose.

While the Waffles have the simplest and most controllable path to the playoffs, a win feels very unlikely versus a fully loaded Pirates team looking to clinch the #1 seed. This would mean their more realistic path to the playoffs would be everyone in this tier losing this week. That's very possible, as the Penguins face Sacks in the City, and the Orcas have 7 currently rostered players on BYE. It would be hilarious for the Waffles to drop the last three games of the year and still somehow make it, but I don't think that is the most likely scenario. If the Waffles don't make it, they will likely be the strongest seed in the toilet bowl, with a date against PT Flea or the Slimes in the first round.

7. The Bridge Road Orcas (📉-1)

Can clinch #6 with: a win AND both other teams lose.

The Orcas have the hardest path on paper to the 6 seed after losing to the Penguins who suddenly have life again. They are tied in record and H2H with the Penguins, which means divisional record comes into play, putting them at #8 currently. The reason they aren't #8 on this list is the fact that they face Muff Punters, and the other two teams face 10 win juggernauts. The real kicker for the Orcas will be the outcome of the Penguins matchup, as there's no scenario where the Orcas make it if the Penguins win. Unfortunately for the Orcas, their own matchup isn't as straight forward as it could be, as they have 7 current rostered players on BYE. 

6. Bud Ice Penguins (📈+2)

Can clinch #6 with: a win AND Waffles lose

A scenario that wasn't even on my radar has occurred, and now the Penguins are very possibly one win away from the postseason. A Waffles loss seems very likely at this point, which means the Penguins control their own destiny in all likelihood. I don't know why I expected the Penguins to lie down and die, but they have done the opposite and have put the entire league on notice. Imagine if this team still had Saquon, they might be a contender for the whole thing. They definitely aren't guaranteed a way in with the 10 win Sacks in the City fighting for a BYE this week, but the Sacks roster has several key BYEs including Derrick Henry and Jayden Daniels. If they did manage to get in, they would likely be setting up an immediate rematch against Sacks in the City.

Shark Tank

5. Zark's Sharks (📉-1)

The Sharks drop a spot this week simply because they aren't one of the teams that can win the regular season. Here's an interesting scenario nonetheless - if the Sharks beat WFT this week, they will be setting up a 4 vs. 5 immediate rematch matchup in the first round, which is also what happened last year. The Sharks have a strike available for use, which means they could choose to tank this week in order to attempt to play Sacks in the City, or PAJ (unlikely given their schedule). This would be costly however, as they hold a narrow 28 point lead for the scoring title currently, and it's not clear that tanking would guarantee anything seeding wise.

One Seed Fight!

4. Play Action Jackson (📈+1)

Can clinch #1 with: a win AND Sacks, Pirates lose

Can clinch a BYE with: a win AND Sacks lose

PAJ looked like they may drop a random one to PT Flea, but they rallied in the latter half of the matchup to deliver a blowout win. Getting to 10 wins is a major accomplishment for the franchise and they have a legit shot at getting a BYE as well, but they need help. If they don't get the BYE, they would face either the Waffles or Orcas in round one, which would be a very favorable matchup for PAJ. After that, they would project to face Sacks in the City in round two in either scenario. Everything looks pretty good for this team right now. PAJ on top?

3. Sacks in the City (➖)

Can clinch #1 with: a win AND Pirates lose

Can clinch a BYE with: a win, or everyone in this tier loses

Sacks in the City control their own BYE destiny this week, and they also control the fate of Bud Ice Penguins. Playing your rival with a BYE on the line for you and the postseason on the line for them is as big as a regular season game gets. It appears unlikely that anyone other than the Pirates will be in the #1 seed, but there still is a path if a miracle happens. If Sacks were to lose this week, which is possible given their BYE statuses to Henry and Daniels, they would very likely immediately face the Penguins again in the playoffs. That matchup would include the best of both teams, which would likely favor Sacks considerably. The other possibility is that that Sacks loses and WFT wins, which would put Sacks in the 4/5 matchup against the Sharks. There's a huge range of possibilities here.

2. Parma Pirates (📉-1)

Can clinch #1 with: a win, or everyone in this tier loses

Can clinch a BYE with: a win

The Pirates lose to WFT this week, but still are the heavy favorites to take home the #1 spot due to the ultimate tiebreaker and schedule. The only issue with this is, in all likelihood, would line up a divisional matchup in round 2 against the winner of Sharks and WFT, unless WFT can make it into the 2 or 3 seed.

1. Washington Fantasy Team (📈+1)

Can clinch #1 with: a win AND everyone else in this tier loses

Can clinch a BYE with: a win AND two of Sacks, PAJ, Pirates lose

The ascension has been realized. While it appears highly unlikely that this team will earn a BYE, what a season this has turned out to be. WFT capitalized on some early surprise wins, made a ton of moves, and never looked back. This team is playing like the best team in Super League right now. There's a range of possibilities on the table, but the most likely is that WFT will face the Sharks in back to back weeks, which also happened last season. Last time, the Sharks got the better of WFT, but anything can happen in a rivalry game like this. Curtis is a living legend.